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Slowing labor market vs strong corporate earnings: Who wins?

August 6, 2025
Investors have mostly been celebrating the S&P 500’s strong earnings season. But at the same time, a notable slowdown in labor markets is brewing: July’s nonfarm payrolls rose by just 73,000 versus expectations of 105,000, and prior months saw a downward revision of 258,000 jobs. Can corporate earnings remain resilient in this scenario? Let’s take a look.

June CPI: Tariff pressures reignite inflation concerns

July 16, 2025
It appears that new tariffs are starting to affect consumer prices. In the June inflation report, headline CPI accelerated to 2.7% over the prior 12 months, up from 2.4% in May. Core CPI (which excludes food and energy) rose 2.9%, the fastest pace since February. On a monthly basis since May, the headline index increased 0.3% while core rose 0.2%.

The U.S. economy: resilient, not recessionary

June 11, 2025
Despite the numerous headlines around potential stagflation and recession, the U.S. economy continues to show signs of strength and stability. While growth has cooled from its post-pandemic highs, the data points to a controlled normalization. Here’s what’s happening, and what it means for your portfolio...
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