Beyond Traditional Metrics: Excess Capital Yield’s More Complete Measure of Value
A low valuation can identify an inexpensive stock, but it doesn't necessarily signal a company's ability to create value over time.
A low valuation can identify an inexpensive stock, but it doesn't necessarily signal a company's ability to create value over time.
Markets may trade the midterms on headlines, but the opportunity lies beneath them: where policy shifts can change industry economics—and where political noise may push prices away from fundamentals. Aerospace and defense, health care, and AI infrastructure show how differently that tension can play out.
Utilities may be a fat pitch, policy curveballs may miss banks, and markets are differentiating the contenders of AI adoption.
Small caps just got cheaper, energy still looks compelling, and defense stocks haven’t caught up to a wave of major contract wins.
Are consumers becoming more tolerant of roaches, or simply less tolerant of rising costs (even for pest control)? Plus, hunting for the next leg of AI winners.
Low-volatility stocks look cheap, AI may be helping hiring, and banks are turning higher rates into a tailwind.
The Trump administration is taking stakes in chip, defense, quantum, and rare earth companies that align with policy priorities. These “National Champion” stocks could see long-term competitive advantages that aren’t immediately apparent.
Lower income households are getting a raise, increasing capex estimates signal confidence, and small businesses are catching up in their use of AI.
Jim Lydotes flips the timer on a retail energy deal, thinner consumer cushions, and how index rebalancing shows why investors should look beneath the market surface.
Dividend yield reflects what a company paid; price-to-book what it owns. Neither captures what it can do next.