Look under the hood of sizzling headline inflation, and you’ll see it starting to cool.
The repercussions of US midterm elections will be felt over the coming months and years, not days. The key is how the results are transmitted to the economy, chiefly through monetary and fiscal policy.
With many aspects of the US economy in decent shape, we believe spread widening in a recession is likely to be limited. Still, investors no longer need to overreach on risk.
Fear of inflation, which has driven stocks and bonds down in tandem year to date, is expanding to fear of a growth slowdown, potentially leading to a capitulation point. If this shift takes hold, and stagflation risk has been priced in to reach a new equilibrium, it could restore the normal relationship between stocks and bonds.
A human-plus-machine approach to analyzing and monitoring major events can help clear today’s fog of war—and potentially prepare for future crises.
During the month of May there’s a lot of media attention on 529 college savings plans, culminating in National College Savings Day a.k.a. 529 Day on May 29th. Paula Smith, Senior Vice President, Product Strategy and Development - Retirement and College Savings, gives an overview of the benefits of 529 plans.
As investors grapple with a new era of macroeconomic uncertainty, liquidity is king in the near term.
Following the bond market’s recent beating, term yields have already priced in aggressive Fed rate hikes, positioning core bonds to effectively diversify credit risk.
An effective factor investing strategy should be both contextual, that is, able to take into account differences across business segments, and adaptable as markets change over time.
Strong funded ratios and higher interest rates are prompting many corporate pension plan sponsors to shift assets to LDI strategies. Hear from our LDI experts, Oleg Gershkovich and Brett Cornwell, CFA, as they share their thoughts on why now is the right time to de-risk.
January 1, 2022 marked a significant milestone in the transition from LIBOR to alternative reference rates.
Knowing the stakes, the Fed is likely to keep surprises to a minimum.
Despite our view that a U.S. economic contraction is avoidable in the near term, the outlook for equities has deteriorated since the beginning of the year and we think this sour spot is likely to last as monetary policy becomes tighter.