March 12, 2026
Global markets experienced a sharp repricing of central bank policy expectations this week as investors reassessed the balance between disinflation and renewed inflation risks. After entering March with growing confidence that rate cuts would unfold smoothly in 2026, that narrative shifted abruptly. Rising energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions lifted inflation expectations and prompted markets to scale back confident easing assumptions across the U.S., Europe, and the U.K.