Voya High Yield Bond Fund Quarterly Commentary - 2Q26
Total return approach, investing in below investment grade corporate securities.
Portfolio review
HY bonds advanced in the second quarter as geopolitical tensions eased, helping stabilize energy prices and temper macro uncertainty. Corporate results during the period were strong, with the S&P 500 delivering its highest earnings growth and surprise rates since 2021, supported by robust capital expenditure and strong hyperscaler demand. On the economic front, employment was steady and the manufacturing sector expanded alongside the services sector, while inflation accelerated and consumer confidence remained subdued. The U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged with new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh removing forward guidance and emphasizing price stability at the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Against this backdrop, the probability of a rate hike increased, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose.
The ICE BofA US High Yield Index returned 2.46% for the quarter, bringing year to date performance to 1.89%. BB, B, and CCC rated bonds returned 2.23%, 2.84%, and 2.40%, respectively. Spreads narrowed to 275 basis points (bp) from 328 bp, the average bond price rose to 97.11, and the market’s yield fell to 7.45%. Most industries finished higher with packaging and paper, services, and real estate outperforming, while cable, transportation, and energy underperformed. Trailing 12-month default rates finished the period at 2.67% (par) and 1.76% (issues). The upgrade and downgrade ratio increased to 1.1. Quarterly new issuance saw 125 issues priced, raising $106.0 billion in proceeds. Mutual fund flows were estimated at $8.9 billion.
For the quarter, the class I shares of the Fund underperformed with its benchmark on a NAV basis. The portfolio’s overweight to B rated bonds (which outperformed BB and CCC rated bonds) and allocation to convertible securities were favorable tailwinds in the period. Industries helping relative performance in the period included cable & satellite TV, technology & electronics, and media. Security selection was the main source of strength across all relative contributors. A lack of exposure to a cable television issuer that announced an internal reorganization had the largest positive impact in cable & satellite TV. Positioning in a cloud computing issuer that announced a key strategic partnership drove outperformance in technology. Within media, gains were largely attributable to overweight positioning in a social media company that announced cost-cutting measures. Industries detracting the most from relative performance in the period were healthcare, telecommunications, and support-services. Overweight positioning in a health services provider, along with underweight positioning in a pharmaceutical developer, were the primary adverse impacts in healthcare. Within telecommunications, an allocation to a diversified telecom provider had the largest negative effect on performance. An overweight in an equipment rental issuer that offered conservative guidance was the primary source of relative underperformance in support-services.
Current strategy and outlook
The economic outlook is positive for the second half of 2026, supported by the artificial intelligence buildout, high-income consumer, and downstream effects of pro-growth domestic policies as well as sustained labor market stability and easing geopolitical tensions. Conversely, persistent inflation would be a key economic risk.
The earnings outlook is also positive. Bottom-up estimates continue to trend higher, driven by better-than-expected results, earnings breadth expansion, robust AI spend, broadening investment, productivity gains, and durable margins. On the other hand, rising expenses and input costs are profitability headwinds.
The United States HY market, yielding more than 7%1, offers equity-like returns but with less volatility. The asset class is expected to deliver a positive, but below-coupon return for 2026. The market’s attractive total return potential is a function of its discount to face value and higher coupon, which also serves to cushion downside volatility. Credit fundamental factors are stable, near-term refinancing obligations remain low, and the market’s credit quality composition has improved. In this environment, new issuance is expected to remain steady, spreads can stay tight, and the default rate should continue to reside below the historical average.
Longer-duration issues are the most likely to be impacted by high and volatile rates, but the overall HY market should have a dampened response due to its larger coupon relative to other fixed income alternatives. As a result, U.S. HY bonds contribute from both a diversification and a relative-performance perspective, offering a very compelling yield opportunity.
Key Takeaways
High-yield (HY) bonds advanced in the second quarter as geopolitical tensions eased, helping stabilize energy prices and temper macro uncertainty.
For the period, the class I shares of the Fund underperformed with its benchmark on a net asset value (NAV) basis.
Yielding more than 7%, the asset class offers equity-like returns but with less volatility.