Are we at the peak of the business cycle, or are we still in growth mode? Estimating our current position in the cycle has important implications for portfolio allocation, as asset classes can perform differently in each stage. One way to make that estimation is via the high yield bond spread—and here’s what it has to say for allocators.
The U.S. economy and equity markets remain on solid ground at the start of the third quarter, although economists are waiting for tariff impacts to show in the hard data.
The economy’s impressive resilience has helped markets shake off fiscal and geopolitical uncertainties. But while it’s business as usual for some sectors, others are facing a panoply of new challenges, compounded by the accelerating AI revolution. Our experts take a look at how to play this complex new landscape.
With the first half of 2025 in the books, the global economic environment remains clouded by policy uncertainty. Over the past few weeks, a steady stream of economic data has reinforced a familiar narrative: while soft data has been volatile, hard data continues to show resilience.
Markets are holding steady despite mounting uncertainty, as investors, the Fed, and corporate America wait for clarity on fiscal policy and the direction of the economy.
Value investing is often synonymous with finding ‘cheap’ stocks. But cheap doesn’t always mean a bargain. We go beyond traditional valuation measures using a more expansive framework to target attractively valued companies through both a value-creation and quality lens.